Good morning College Football bettors! It's Saturday morning and another week of Big Wahl's Big Six, Week 12 Edition. I have 6 games you need to bet on this AM to start your College Football Saturday off right. Get off your couch, and let's go 6-0!
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Colgate at Army, Saturday 10/17 12:00 PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Why I like this game going Under (37):
- 80% of Army's last 5 games at home has gone on the Under. Outstanding percentage to stand by.
- Colgate played earlier this year against a now 13th ranked Syracuse team and only put up 7 points at the Carrier Dome. Army is not Syracuse, but I don't see Colgate putting up many points like they have in the Patriot League this year.
- Army won't run up the score in this game that's not their game. I see this as a 24-3 game with Army winning.
(12) Syracuse vs. (3) Notre Dame (at Yankee Stadium) Saturday 10/17, 2:30 PM ET, NBC
Why I like this game going Under (66):
- The Fighting Irish love the under as a home team. Even though this game is in New York, and they are the home team per say, they go low 75% of the time against the number. Plus, New York City has tons of Irish fans to make it not feel like as much of a neutral site.
- Both teams this season have gone under 4 times. If you look at Notre Dame their high points number this year in a game they were in was 60, which they went under on. As the favorite, it's hard to see a scenario where the Irish allow 5 touchdowns to Syracuse, but don't see them blowing out Syracuse.
- These defenses put together only allow about 55 points per game so, 66 could be a high number to get for how well both teams are coached.
Why I like the Boilermakers on the Money Line (-200):
- The numbers will show that Purdue has lost their last 10 against the Badgers, but this years Boilermakers are different. They demolished Ohio State at Home, beat a Top 20 ranked Iowa team at Home, Jeff Brohm knows how to win the big ones this year.
- Wisconsin has won only 25% of their games this year on the Road. The Badgers have turned into roadkill after starting the season as the 4th ranked team in ALL of College Football.
- Easily predictable, Wisconsin has turned into one the most predictable teams in College Football. Have you seen them run a trick play, no. Maybe throw the ball for 30 yards down field? Ha, with Alex Hornibrook hell no. Jeff Brohm has brought his Quarterback mind to Purdue and has created a Top 15 passing offense in these Boilermakers, which is why they will win this game.
Indiana at (4) Michigan, Saturday 4:00 PM ET, FS1
Why I like the Hoosiers on the Spread (+28):
- The Hoosiers love to cover the spread against the biggest dogs in the Big Ten. This team has had a tough schedule this year, but has covered the Spread against #10 Ohio State and #14 Penn State. Both numbers in double digits, but the Hoosiers covered it!
- I usually hate going up with the money vs. against the money but 54% are on the Hoosier train from Bloomington to see if they can cover the spread in Ann Arbor.
- Indiana is 66% against Jim Harbaugh in their last 3 games vs. Michigan. Ole Jim better drink extra milk this week for those evil sports bettors, who are rolling with the Hoosiers this week.
Duke at (2) Clemson, Saturday 7:00 PM ET, ESPN
Why I like the Blue Devils on the Spread (+28.5):
- This will be Duke's largest dog game this year. But that's ok for a team that in their last 6 games has covered the spread on the road 83% of the time.
- Clemson is just over 33% in their last 6 games at home. We know the Tigers are going to the college football playoff, but wouldn't be nice to win some money off of them and have every be mad at "Mullet Man" Trevor Lawrence in this one.
- With Duke being a top 50 defense in College Football, I think they will definitely lose but will stay within this large number of almost 29 points.
UAB at Texas A&M, Saturday 7:00 PM ET, ESPN2
Why I like this game going OVER (45):
- The Blazers are an under team, but Mid 40's with a middle of the road SEC team and a top team in Conference USA, I don't see a scenario where this game is under 45 points.
- Spencer Brown was in Wahl's CFB Preview, so watch out for that name for the Blazers to do some damage in the red zone. Guy is a touchdown machine, another reason why I am taking the over.
- Can Kellen Mond be consistent? You can't play well in the SEC when your completion percentage (via Colin Cowherd) is under 60%. He may throw a couple interceptions today to make this game closer than it probably should be.